Market Leadership Strategy

The Market Leadership Strategy is designed to be a small portion of your overall investment portfolio.  Our goal: to provide an easy-to-use investment approach with a potential for powerful returns.

Our hypothetical backtested results indicates a potential for almost 20% annualized returns for the past 10 years.  All this with less risk than the S&P 500!  See below for historical results and how to implement this strategy.

RANKINGS & RECOMMENDATIONS
Rankings Updated 5/05/08 with 5/02/08 data.
Data Updated Every Monday by 6:00 pm Central Time

See list of applicable ETFs to trade.

Comments

The Market Leadership Strategy always has two holdings with nominal weighting of 50% each. Based on the rankings, one of the positions can be a money market fund. This strategy will buy the top two (2) ranked funds and hold them as long as they are ranked as a top-5 fund. 

If a holding drops below #5, the strategy will sell it and purchase the highest ranked style not already owned. Additional information on interpreting and following this strategy can be found below.

AllStarInvestor.com is not affiliated with any of the index providers mentioned above. The twelve named Russell indexes are registered trademarks of Russell Investments. The Nasdaq 100® Index is the registered trademark of Nasdaq. The MSCI EAFE® Index is the registered trademark of Morgan Stanley Capital International. The S&P Global 100® Index is the registered trademark of Standard and Poor's.   

All About
MARKET LEADERSHIP STRATEGY

Following the Strategy

This investment program assumes you invest in just two (2) positions, equally weighted at 50% each.

1. Get started by purchasing the top two ranked indexes that are highlighted in GREEN.
   Since you cannot buy an index outright, buy an equivalent Exchange Traded Fund - ETF.
   See this chart for equivalent ETFs here.
   
   
2. Continue to hold those two securities as long as they remain among the top five ranked securities highlighted in GREEN or YELLOW.  Average hold time of a fund is 5.5 months.
   
   
3. When one of your holdings drops lower in the rankings and is highlighted in TAN, then it is time to sell that index.
   
   
4. When you sell an index, Buy the highest ranked index highlighted in GREEN that you don't already own.
   
   
5. That's it!

Different Possibilities

As you probably know, it's not possible to invest directly in an index.  However, there are many Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), mutual funds, and variable annuity subaccounts that are based on these and other similar indexes. 

For example, when the strategy says Buy Large Cap Growth, you have many ways to implement that recommendation. You could buy iShares Russell 1000 Growth (IWF), iShares S&P 500 Growth Index Fund (IVW), PowerShares Dynamic Large Cap Growth Portfolio (PWB), the large cap growth offering in your company's 401(k) plan, or a multitude of other large cap growth funds.

There are a wide range of ETF and mutual fund providers that have offerings based on the styles and indexes recommended by the Market Leadership Strategy. You have the flexibility to use whichever is most convenient for you.  Use index funds and ETFs from providers like Vanguard, S&P, Russell, Morningstar, PowerShares, WisdomTree, Dow Jones Wilshire, AlphaDEX, or your favorite fund family.  See our list of representative ETFs here.

How the Strategy Works

Our ranking system is a multi-factor ranking strategy. Every week we analyze the 16 different investment options looking at trend quality, alpha, price momentum, and risk. These multiple factors are then combined to produce our easy-to-use ranking table. We are not trying to capture the daily or weekly gyrations among these indexes, instead focusing on the longer-term prospects, or the true leadership qualities of those indexes. As a result, turnover is relatively low, with each position being held an average of more than four months during the 10-year backtest period.

The 16 Indexes

We start with the nine styles popularized by the Morningstar style box. It's a good start, but Morningstar had to leave out many investment choices in order to keep everything in a nice and tidy nine-square box. By adding a mega-cap index and a micro-cap index, a larger range of capitalization sizes is now available.

We chose the Russell indexes to represent these 11 segments because of the low degree of overlap between each segment. By adding the Nasdaq 100, an aggressive growth index is now an option. Sometimes, the entire US market is performing well, so a total US market index, such as the Russell 3000 or Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 is a good choice. However, even with those 13 indexes, there are no international options. Therefore we added, the MSCI EAFE index of developed international markets, and the S&P Global 100 Index that represents both domestic and international equities.

We round out our universe of choices with the addition of a money market fund to help control risk.

Historical Testing  

Market Leadership Strategy
Hypothetical Performance Results
10-years 12/31/1997 - 12/31/2007
Parameter	Market Leadership Strategy	S&P 500 Total Return
Annualized Return	19.8%	5.9%
Cumulative Return	507.1%	77.2%
Standard Deviation	16.0%	18.0%
Maximum Drawdown	-21.5%	-47.4%
Sharpe Ratio	1.01	0.12
r-squared	0.67	1.00
Beta	0.73	1.00
Alpha (traditional)	15.1%	0
Non-correlated Alpha	14.6%	0
# Trades	55	n/a
Avg Holding Time (mths)	4.4	n/a

Disclosures

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results and losses are possible. This information should only be used by investors that understand the risks of investing. The historical performance (all performance prior to 12/31/07) of the Market Leadership Strategy is hypothetical. There are many limitations inherent in hypothetical, backtested results, particularly that the performance does not represent the results of actual trading using real money, but were achieved by means of retroactive application of a backtested model that was designed with the benefit of hindsight. The hypothetical performance information does not reflect the impact that any material market or economic factors might have had on anyone's use of the model if the model had been used during the period to actually manage money. The model assumes that investments are made into various market indexes but it is impossible to invest in an index. The model assumes the reinvestment of all dividends and makes no adjustment for fees of any kind. For example, the model makes no provision for fund expense ratios, transaction fees, management fees, taxes, or any other fee. There are often sharp differences between hypothetical returns and actual returns once the strategies are implemented in real time. Hypothetical returns are not an adequate way to judge the skills of an advisor/editor. Differences in models and assumptions would yield different returns. Some of the indexes did not exist for the entire hypothetical performance period and a similar index or security was utilized by the model. Subscribers to All Star Fund Trader did not have access to this model prior to 12/31/2007 and therefore did not achieve these results. All advice that may be inferred from the use of this model should be considered non-personal investment advice and is provided for the exclusive use of our members for non-commercial purposes. This information was compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed nor is every material fact represented. AllStarInvestor.com (ASI) is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer. ASI is affiliated with Capital Cities Asset Management Inc. (CCAM), a registered investment advisor. ASI, CCAM, their employees, clients, and associates often hold positions in and invest the recommend securities and may have interest in past recommendations. These results are not representative of those achieved by clients of CCAM due to differences in security selection, timing of trades, transaction fees, CCAM's management fees, and all the reasons stated above. No item should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities.